Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.114774 0.127992 0.141519 0.156357 0.172139 0.188386 0.206340
2024-10-20 0.096555 0.114754 0.134084 0.156014 0.180076 0.205553 0.234449
2024-10-27 0.082336 0.103699 0.127157 0.154549 0.185388 0.218785 0.257438
2024-11-03 0.072850 0.096695 0.123663 0.155941 0.193069 0.234016 0.282175
2024-11-10 0.066450 0.092471 0.122676 0.159606 0.202853 0.251269 0.308956
2024-11-17 0.059048 0.086299 0.118783 0.159343 0.207675 0.262559 0.328748
2024-11-24 0.055078 0.083926 0.119087 0.163751 0.217719 0.279693 0.355138
2024-12-01 0.050070 0.079777 0.116844 0.164769 0.223497 0.291692 0.375481
2024-12-08 0.044960 0.075055 0.113523 0.164151 0.227054 0.300894 0.392426
2024-12-15 0.041051 0.071614 0.111564 0.164994 0.232205 0.311855 0.411353
2024-12-22 0.036876 0.067460 0.108398 0.164071 0.234992 0.319847 0.426666
2024-12-29 0.034636 0.065867 0.108479 0.167195 0.242725 0.333762 0.449033
2025-01-05 0.031511 0.062812 0.106504 0.167643 0.247182 0.343857 0.467080
2025-01-12 0.028431 0.059569 0.104078 0.167343 0.250582 0.352598 0.483475
2025-01-19 0.025277 0.055932 0.100885 0.165842 0.252309 0.359184 0.497202
2025-01-26 0.023286 0.053981 0.099965 0.167312 0.257808 0.370424 0.516615
2025-02-02 0.022119 0.053289 0.100804 0.171150 0.266382 0.385522 0.540812
2025-02-09 0.019969 0.050734 0.098755 0.170879 0.269479 0.393690 0.556445
2025-02-16 0.019209 0.050543 0.100208 0.175486 0.279036 0.410050 0.582279
2025-02-23 0.017663 0.048799 0.099202 0.176550 0.283828 0.420342 0.600577
2025-03-02 0.015863 0.046409 0.097070 0.175904 0.286254 0.427568 0.615029
2025-03-09 0.014537 0.044787 0.096046 0.176786 0.290695 0.437357 0.632694
2025-03-16 0.012956 0.042490 0.093824 0.175822 0.292555 0.443776 0.646096